Observations

Documented patterns from the geomagnetic and historical event record.

Technical note — These entries document recurring field configurations observed across multiple unrelated events in the historical record. They are pattern-based observations only. No causal mechanism is claimed. All findings are strictly correlational.

Event dates drawn from the Chaerus wiki event catalog (2009–2026). Space weather data sourced from NASA OMNI · HAPI · University of Oulu Neutron Monitor · NOAA SWPC · NASA DONKI.

Referendum Events · 2021

Civic · Three geographically unrelated referendums · Shared field configuration

Shared signal: Dst above yearly average · flow pressure below average · flow speed below average · proton density above average
Date Event Dst (nT) Flow Pressure (nPa) Flow Speed (km/s) Proton Density (n/cm³)
2021‑03‑17 Saint Helena governance referendum 1.5avg −5.51 1.59avg 1.84 348avg 403 7.23avg 6.67
2021‑04‑11 Kyrgyz constitutional referendum −1.08avg −5.51 1.58avg 1.84 351avg 403 7.19avg 6.67
2021‑10‑24 Easter Island tourism referendum −0.917avg −5.51 1.59avg 1.84 352avg 403 7.26avg 6.67

Earthquake Events · 2015

Geophysical · Three geographically unrelated earthquakes · Shared field configuration

Shared signal: plasma beta below yearly average · Alfvén Mach below average · Dst above average · OULU neutron flux above average
Date Event Alfvén Mach Dst (nT) OULU Flux Plasma Beta
2015‑08‑07 South Kivu earthquake 7.4avg 8.9 −19.2avg −20.7 104avg 102 0.905avg 1.89
2015‑09‑24 Sorong earthquake 7.33avg 8.9 −18.4avg −20.7 103avg 102 0.9avg 1.89
2015‑12‑07 Tajikistan earthquake 7.32avg 8.9 −18.5avg −20.7 103avg 102 0.938avg 1.89

Verified Space Weather Signatures & Earthquake Events

Cross-checked against USGS & official seismic records · 3 Consistent Clusters

Chaerus Dynamics

C00009 Cluster

↓ IMF magnitudebelow avg
↓ Flow pressurebelow avg
↑ Alfvén Machabove avg
↓ AEbelow avg

C00068 Cluster

↓ Flow pressurebelow avg
↑ Dstabove avg
↓ Kp10below avg
↓ AEbelow avg

C00070 Cluster

↑ Alfvén Machabove avg
↑ Bz GSMabove avg
↓ Kp10below avg
↓ AEbelow avg

Verified Events Summary

2019‑06‑17 Yibin Earthquake — ✓ Confirmed
2019‑04‑18 Hualien Earthquake — ✓ Confirmed
2021‑08‑14 Haiti Earthquake — ✓ Confirmed
2010‑01‑10 Eureka Earthquake — ✓ Confirmed (UTC)
2018‑02‑14 Oaxaca Earthquake — ⚠ Official date: Feb 16
2018‑10‑28 Guatemala — ⚠ Regional seismic activity

Observed correlations in solar wind & geomagnetic parameters. Not proven causation.


Civic Protest · Deep Solar Wind Quiet · 2011–2023

Civic / Protest · Three events spanning twelve years · Shared heliospheric configuration

Shared signal: proton density well below yearly average · flow pressure below average · plasma beta below average · Dst below average
Date Event Dst (nT) Flow Pressure (nPa) Plasma Beta Proton Density (n/cm³)
2011‑02‑20 2011 Moroccan protests −17.8avg −11.1 0.797avg 1.62 0.539avg 2.21 2.03avg 5.24
2023‑05‑28 LNG protest, Sellin −19.4avg −12.5 0.757avg 1.93 0.614avg 1.65 2.07avg 5.77
2023‑08‑08 2023 Ohio constitutional referendum −18.7avg −12.5 0.803avg 1.93 0.61avg 1.65 1.94avg 5.77

Nonviolent Civil Action · 2018–2021

Civic · Two events · Subdued solar wind and geomagnetic activity

Shared signal: flow pressure below yearly average · Bz GSM below average · Kp10 below average · AE index below average
Date Event Flow Pressure (nPa) Bz GSM (nT) Kp10 AE (nT)
2018‑07‑28 Climate Camp Pödelwitz 1.076avg 1.940 −0.504avg −0.122 11.625avg 14.189 99.583avg 135.790
2021‑08‑17 Demo Luftbrücke Seebrücke, Berlin 1.059avg 1.843 −0.567avg −0.098 11.625avg 14.642 104.417avg 143.997