It combines current solar wind and geomagnetic measurements with historical state, rhythm, and recurrence patterns, then makes those relationships visible through an interactive Lorenz attractor and historical Pattern Explorer.
Chaerus does not predict specific events or establish causation. It makes statistical patterns visible.
Current solar-wind and geomagnetic measurements are drawn from public NASA and NOAA data sources.
Current conditions are compared with recurring patterns observed around historical event windows across ten categories.
An interactive Lorenz attractor makes the relationships visible without claiming that the environmental conditions caused an event.
The research makes no causal claim, and no mechanism has been established. It documents statistical associations between certain solar and geomagnetic conditions and the timing of major events. Chaerus makes those recurring patterns easier to examine in near real time. The value is not certainty. The value is visibility.
About the research →The Chaerus attractor is a work in progress. Updates to the algorithm, formatting, and historical database are being made as frequently as possible.
Chaerus is independent, unfunded, and not affiliated with any institution.